Preview of 2019 Adelaide Autumn Racing Carnival

May 3, 2019 | By More

Racing’s spotlight shifts to South Australia this weekend for the start of the 2019 Adelaide Autumn Racing Carnival.

The first day features two outstanding Group 1 races, the Robert Sangster Classic 1200m and the Schweppes Oaks 2000m.

The Racing industry in South Australia is struggling through some hard times. However, the racing at the Adelaide Autumn Racing Carnival is always high quality with plenty of other activities to entertain the patrons.

Robert Sangster Classic – a highlight of the Adelaide Autumn Racing Carnival

First up, we dissect the Group 1 Robert Sangster Classic, a fillies and mares sprint over 1200m.

It’s important to acknowledge the incredible influence Robert Sangster has had on Australian racing.

Besides being a highly successful businessman, he was founding member of the international brigade that is now an integral part of horse racing and breeding in the region.

His highly successful relationship with the late Colin Hayes of Lyndsay Park Stud was responsible for thousands of winners. It made an indelible mark on the future of thoroughbred racing, not only in South Australia but also across the country.

Next year will be the 40th anniversary of their horse Beldale Ball winning the Melbourne Cup.

The race named in his honour has been an excellent, competitive event since its inaugural running in 1986. Previous winners include With Me, Western Chorus, Dantelah, Alinghi, Response and the queen of sprinters herself, Black Caviar. The list of winners shows the strength of the race through the years.

The Robert Sangster Classic is promoted this year as the TAB Classic.

Our Mayor was brutal in his assessment.

“It’s a terrible injustice for a race honouring an important figure in Australian turf history, to be usurped by the latest sponsorship deal.” Mayor

Historical form lines for the Robert Sangster Classic.

From a historical perspective, the important lead-up races for the Robert Sangster Classic are The R.N. Irwin Stakes and The Sapphire Stakes. Placings in the Galaxy is also a good form line.

There are no horses this year who placed in any of those races, which is an unusual occurrence. I’ll Have A Bit finished fifth in the R.N. Irwin Stakes, and Spright finished the same distance from the winner in the Sapphire Stakes. 

Mares coming back from either 1500m or 1600m, and who ran between fifth and tenth at their last start, are key reference points.

Unfortunately, we do not have a selection using those criteria, since Jamaican Rain and Bella Martini raced poorly in the Coolmore Classic.

Mares have a better record in the race, although they also were more prevalent in numbers than the fillies.

There is a correlation between runners and prices. Mares who are between $7 and $20, and have finished top five at their previous run are in the mix. This criteria results in Cool Passion, I’ll Have A Bit, Anjana, Thrillster and Lady Cosmology.

We have therefore decided on I’ll Have A Bit for the main bet. She is currently at the attractive odds of $19.00. Cool Passion $7.00 and Anjana $8.50 are our saving bets. The best mare in the race is Spright, who must be added to our exotics.

The Schweppes Oaks

The Schweppes Oaks (registered as the Australasian Oaks) is pretty straight forward.

The key form lines are the 1800m Auraria Stakes, Australian Oaks and the 1700m Anzac Day fillies race at Flemington.

We also need to look for runners $3.00 to $10.00 because they have a good record in the race.

Analysing those three races, the only runner who fits the criteria is Mirette.

Several fillies qualify on the form reference too but are at long odds.

These included Maracaibo, Zalatte, Sizzleme, Nordic Symphony, Arctic Shock, Dreamed and Seewhatshebrings. 

Some runners, such as Aristia and Qafila, have been running recently on very heavy tracks. Both have the ability to show marked improvement here.

Mirette $10.00 is therefore our bet in the race, at super odds.

There are also some very good “overs” in this race, with Sizzelme $26.00 and Maracaibo $23.00 the standouts.

Adelaide Autumn Carnival racing tips

We’ve set up great betting promotions for this weekend on Villagebet. Please take advantage of these because they are great value! Hopefully you’ll find something of interest.

The Mayor’s racing tips and best bets for the 2019 Adelaide Autumn Racing Carnival will be ready on race morning.

They’re running pretty hot with 6 winners last weekend.

Make sure you check them out for the Adelaide meeting before making your bets.

Racing tips, best bets, lucky longshotsquaddies and the highly successful ‘Weekend Special’, are many ways to help you fill your pockets.

The coffee quaddie is a fun activity! Register for it in our Tipping Forum.

We’ll review the meeting early next week.

Most importantly, we wish all investors the best of luck this weekend!

By Voyager, a Village member since 2007.

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Mayor of Thoroughbred Village

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