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Queensland Oaks – historical form analysis and betting tips

June 1, 2019 | By More

The Queensland Oaks has been won by some exceptional fillies over the years and a field of 20 is set to contest the 2019 renewal at Doomben.

In 2015, a filly by the name of Winx shocked racing fans with her monstrous win in the Queensland Oaks. It was the 2nd leg of a string of 33 consecutive victories.

Great fillies, Surround, Denise’s Joy, November Rain, Ethereal and Triscay are included in the list of Queensland Oaks winners, which spans back to 1951.

The Chris Waller stable has won three of the last four editions of the Queensland Oaks.

Looking at the race from a historical perspective, the winner will have finished in the top four at their previous run.

The fillies who raced in Sydney and Adelaide, or in the key lead-up race, The Roses at Doomben or the 2200m 3yo race two weeks before.

Favourites have a good record at winning, but the placegetters have an average price of $12.00.

Barriers are also informative. In the last 10 years, those who have drawn in the middle, from 5 to 12, have a 75% chance of running a place.

Four main chances in the Queensland Oaks

After assessing the field through these initial criteria, Princess Jenni, Aliferous, Etana and Our Intrigue are the winning chances.

Further analysis of the Oaks form has revealed Aliferous as our main bet at $8.50.

Aliferous (by Hinchinbrook) ran fourth in the Australian Oaks and a most unlucky second in The Roses where she powered home from well back. She can go one better this time.

The other three Princess Jenni, Etana and Our Intrigue are also genuine chances.

Princess Jenni (by High Chaparral) won the South Australian Oaks last start and looked all quality. Her ‘turn of foot’ put her rivals to the sword.

Qafila confirmed the formline with a dominant victory in the SA Derby.

Princess Jenni, with Damien Oliver riding, will position herself midfield and finish with a withering run.

Etana (by Shamus Award) won the G2 The Roses and meets many of the same fillies again.

Our Intrigue (by Showcasing) has been good in both her Australian starts and loves the wet ground.

Welsh Legend (by Camelot) would have been included but for the bad barrier.

Snitzel filly, Itz Lily, was super in The Roses when finishing 4th. She is an excellent longshot chance at $26.00.

Winning Ways (by Declaration Of War) put together three wins in a row including the Gold Coast Bracelet at Listed level.

She was far from the worst in her most recent run in The Roses when held up for much of the straight. Doing her best work late and at $23 is a consideration.

How to bet on the Queensland Oaks

We suggest the best way to bet the Queensland Oaks is with a trifecta.

In a trifecta, you must correctly name the first three placings in order. Because this can be quite difficult, particularly with a large field, it often results in a large dividend.

We suggest to either take a boxed trifecta, including numbers 1, 2, 3 and 15, and perhaps some of the other chances we have mentioned.

If you feel confident in selecting the winner, make it the standout and box the others to fill the placings.

With a full field of 20 fillies, the trifecta is likely to be a big payout.

Postscript: the Trifecta on the QLD Oaks for the numbers 4,9,14 paid $64,715.1

The Queensland Oaks is also the 3rd leg of the quadrella, if you would like to play it too.

Postcript: the Quaddie for the numbers 3,3,4,9 (Subs: 4/16/1/9) paid $6,248.8

Enjoy the contest and good luck!

Plenty of great punting activities for you in the village.

We have the coffee quaddie for those playing with small outlays! Don’t forget to play in the Tipping Forum.

The Mayor’s racing tips and best bets are ready and published so check them out. Racing tips, best bets, quaddies, lucky longshots and the highly successful ‘Weekend Special’. So much value this week!

Good luck and lots of success with your investments! 

Next week are the final Group 1 races in Queensland, and include the historic Stradbroke Handicap.

By Voyager, a Village member since 2007.

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