Warmer weather brings increased value for punters

February 22, 2019 | By More

Cometh the sunshine! With the onset of warmer weather, the transition of racetrack ratings from heavy to soft brings great value for punters.

Poetic piece

The winter is cold and wet. Heavy tracks wreak havoc on form.

Punters are exasperated.

However, hold fast as Spring is nigh.

The sun rises from its slumber.

Spring warms the Earth and the ground firms up.

The grass grows luscious and thick.

Pay attention value punter. Turnarounds in form abound.

End of poetic piece

Heavy tracks are a nightmare, particularly in NSW where persistent rain causes havoc everywhere.

Opportunities to gain great value for punters arise because the warm weather dries out the tracks.

Excellent drainage systems in place nowadays means that a short dry spell can lead to dramatic changes in footing.

Most horses have distinct preferences in regard to the types of surfaces on which they perform best.

These track surfaces can follow annual patterns, to which some horses are suited, and can repeat previous performances from previous years.

For example, duffers on heavy tracks can produce dramatic changes in performance levels when tracks firm up, even just a little.

A track rating can go from a Heavy 9 rating to a much more manageable Soft 6.

This will alter your punting outlook completely.

More horses are now in the frame, and noted mudlarks lose their advantage.

Watch the Unibet markets carefully, and look for dramatic fluctuations in price. You can strike before the value disappears.

Additional factors increase value for punters

Other factors to study include pedigree and upbringing so get to work on these aspects.

Look at the horse’s breeding and determine whether it would be more suited, genetically, for firmer footing, for example.

Specific ancestors in pedigrees influence performance on heavy tracks.

Perhaps the horse is not bred to perform on wet tracks, hence is showing indifferent form lines.

Variable weather wreaks havoc on form

Spring time is also a time for variable weather and tracks can quickly become waterlogged again after heavy rains.

The serious punter should pay close attention to the weather because weather is not only a cool topic of conversation!

Our selections on the racing tips and best bets page take into account dramatic changes in track ratings.

Identify talented horses that are fit but have poor recent form on heavy tracks.

Look for those crying out for firm footing!

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Category: Punting Advice


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